sys.term.01

Global Consensus Output

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04:26:57.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@StudyGuideTAvotes:0 comments:0BTC | week 14 | 15min chart* T.A explained ** A Range = two or more consecutive color candles. There are two types of ranges - accumulation and distribution. DISTRIBUTION RANGES DEFINED: BackSide (BS) Candle - First distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level. FrontSide (FS) Candle - Last distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Distribution candles are used as support. ACCUMULATION RANGES DEFINED: Inverse BS (Inv.BS) - First Accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation. = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level. Inverse FS (Inv.FS) - Last accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Accumulation candles are used as resistance. Horizontal Ray tool on BS & FS levels are default support levels when dashed lines, tested when dotted lines and resistance when solid lines. Horizontal Ray tool on Inverse BS & Inverse FS levels default as resistance and shown with a dashed line, tested when 1x dotted line, and support when solid line. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe.
23:24:03.000FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD- N/A@SETLifeTradingvotes:0 comments:0BITCOIN outcomeBUTCOIN has been consolidating. Waiting for 2 outcomes of either a bounce soon to 70-72k zone or drop more and then climb back up. UP or DOWN?
22:31:42.000BITFINEX:BTCUSD▼ Short@TechnicalToniovotes:2 comments:22btc going down imminent see for yourself last chance for entries. same pattern playing out dont be a fool
21:41:40.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@Merchant_Musashivotes:4 comments:22Bitcoin to 84.5kWith Bitcoin 200 ema sitting at 85k, $12B shorts above current price versus only 3 Billion longs, Weekly RSI sitting in heavy oversold zone, I expect a retrace inbound. Couple this with mass institutional interest and the Covid crash front running long liquidations during last bull cycle, we may even be looking at the shortest bear cycle Bitcoin has ever seen.
20:45:38.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@H2A3S1votes:3 comments:22BTC Long Idea | Buy the pullback into HTF supportBTC is pulling back into a strong higher-timeframe support zone while still respecting the broader ascending trendline. I’m looking at this move as a buy-the-dip opportunity, not a breakdown, unless price loses the invalidation level. Plan: E1: 65,661 E2: 63,913 E3: 62,300 Invalidation: 59,765 daily acceptance below this level As long as BTC holds this demand area, I’m expecting a reaction back toward local highs and trend continuation. Best approach is scaling in through the green levels rather than chasing. Bullish confirmation: strong bounce from E1/E2 and reclaim of short-term structure Targets: 68K+ first, then 70K–72K if momentum returns This setup is based on trend support + discounted entries inside demand. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingView #LongSetup #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance
20:30:39.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▼ Short@InvestingScopevotes:5 comments:11BTCUSD: HL breakout initiates bearish wave to 50,000Bitcoin is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.871, MACD = -635.400, ADX = 25.195) trading within a Channel Down since the October 2025 ATH. The price is now under the 1D MA50 and crossed below the HL trendline which on January 20th was a confirmation for the start of the Channel's new Bearish Wave. The two waves before declined by almost the same percentage so we anticipate at least a -35.50% decline from the recent high (TP = 50,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
20:34:04.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@Lunadigitalvotes:4 comments:11BTCUSD: Dead Cat Bounce or Further Crash Ahead?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading in a clear bearish structure after a strong rejection from the 78,800 – 81,800 resistance zone, which has now flipped into a key supply area. The market failed to reclaim this level, confirming seller dominance and continuation of the downtrend. Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows, supported by the descending dynamic resistance (red line), indicating sustained bearish pressure. The recent consolidation around the 66K region appears to be a temporary pause rather than a reversal. Key Levels: 🔴 Resistance: 78,800 – 81,800 🟢 Support: 38,000 – 41,000 Scenario Outlook: Short-term: Possible minor bounce or consolidation near current levels Mid-term: Bearish continuation likely if resistance remains intact Target Zone: A strong move towards the 40K support area is highly probable if selling momentum increases Alternative Scenario: A strong breakout and daily close above the resistance zone could invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward recovery. Conclusion: The overall trend remains bearish unless key resistance is reclaimed. Traders should watch for rejection confirmations and avoid premature buying in a downtrending market.
17:03:57.000BINANCE:BTCUSD- N/A@alejandroscottivotes:1 comments:0Bitcoin Bounce into Resistance Tilts Odds Higher This WeekGenerated: 2026-03-30 12:42 ET Market conditions favor a tactical rally into key resistance as oversold momentum enters a reversal window, though broader bearish structure demands discipline on position sizing and exit timing. Bitcoin sits at a critical juncture. The daily timeframe has just crossed into an oversold recovery zone—all three stochastic lines below 30 with the fastest line curling upward—and the timing models explicitly flag a directional shift window opening through March 31st. This setup favors a bounce into the 71,621 resistance level, roughly 8% above current price. The intraday recovery (up 1.21% from open) shows genuine buying support above Crash Mode support at 63,922, signaling that capitulation may have already occurred into Sunday's low. However, this is a high-probability short-term trade, not a medium-term reversal . The critical caveat: energy models remain deeply negative with the moving average still declining. Any rally into the upper 60s and low 70s is likely to encounter sellers stepping in at resistance. The message from the technicals is clear—a same-day or next-day bounce into 71,621 is probable, but holding through the broader consolidation into April 6th increases whipsaw risk significantly. The weekly picture reinforces this tactical bias. All seven weekly indicating ranges are aligned bearish, confirming that March's selloff represents a confirmed turning point (the March 23rd low was penetrated and the downtrend is now active). The nearest bullish reversal sits well above at 74,038, meaning any rally faces structural headwinds above current levels. The weekly timing array identifies April 6th as the strongest turning point window ahead —roughly a week away—where directional clarity is expected to emerge. Until then, choppy, range-bound price action into that date is the base case. The monthly view adds long-term context without changing the tactical outlook: energy divergence is building (price declining while momentum bars hold elevated readings), and the February low has been elected as a buy signal but hasn't held. This energy divergence typically precedes a reversal, but not immediately. May and July are flagged as the next major structural targets —meaning the current weakness is expected to persist into those windows before any sustained relief. Key Levels and Risk Management: Support: 65,019 (today's low; invalidates the bounce setup if breached on close), 63,922 (Crash Mode). Resistance: 68,176 (intraday breakeven), 71,621 (primary bounce target), 74,038 (weekly bullish election point). A close below 65,019 would negate the bullish bounce setup and warn of continued decline toward the 65,295 weekly support. Conversely, a sustained break above 71,621 would shift odds toward a test of the 74,038 weekly election level, though the broader bearish regime suggests this would remain a selling opportunity rather than a trend reversal. The Setup: High Probability, Limited Duration This is a 3-5 day tactical bounce trade —not a signal to accumulate long exposure or hold through April. The oversold stochastic, timing array opposition target, and price holding above intraday support create a favorable setup for a rally into 71,621. But the negative energy environment, bearish weekly structure, and April 6th turning point window demand discipline: take profits into resistance and avoid the temptation to extend positions into the chop zone ahead. Invalidation: A close below the session low (65,019) would negate this view and signal that the downtrend has further room to run into April's timing targets.
17:17:46.000BINANCE:BTCUSD.P- N/A@TheGemHuntervotes:0 comments:0BTC Potential Triple ZigzagBTC still remains corrective to the downside, potentially printing a triple zigzag correction; one of the most complex corrections. Catching it before it ends can be rewarding, if accurate. Price is finding resistance at weekly close/resistance level, a very helpful level so far. Here is a zoomed out view of how this level was plotted... ...we can see how this level acted as major support and resistance in the past. Potential retracement for this triple zigzag is at the 1:1, a fairly common retracement level. If price does indeed turn around at the current level and find support at the 1:1, there could be another retest of the weekly close and resistance level. The most important take away here is, price action still remains corrective to the downside rather than impulsive, leaving the door open for a possible move to the upside. Key level to watch is the weekly close/resistance level @ $67,677. If rejection continues at that level, this could eventually become impulsive to the down side. If price breaks above and finds support, there could be another wave up in the works. -Not Financial Advice-
18:41:29.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@Abirstockvotes:0 comments:11Bitcoin Slides Again — Is This Just a Dip or the Start of a DeepBitcoin is back under pressure, and this time it’s not just noise. After touching record highs near $126,000 late last year, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is now stuck in the mid-$60,000 range, shaking confidence across the market and raising a bigger question — what changed? The answer is simple but uncomfortable. The macro backdrop has turned hostile. Strong inflation data and a firm stance from the Federal Reserve have pushed bond yields higher and strengthened the dollar, making risk assets like Bitcoin less attractive. At the same time, rising tensions in the Middle East and higher oil prices have pushed investors toward safer bets, with gold quietly outperforming. Institutional demand, once the backbone of Bitcoin’s rally, is no longer reliable. Spot ETF flows have turned inconsistent, with several large outflow days signaling hesitation among big players. Some fund managers now say Bitcoin is behaving less like “digital gold” and more like a high-risk tech asset, especially in uncertain economic conditions. There’s also a structural shift happening. Long-term holders who accumulated during the earlier cycle have been taking profits, adding supply into a market that lacks strong new demand. Research desks note that this kind of distribution phase often leads to longer consolidation periods. Looking ahead, Bitcoin faces a clear test. If inflation cools and ETF inflows return, a recovery toward $70K–$75K is possible. But if macro pressure stays high and $60K breaks, the market could slide further into a deeper correction. Right now, this isn’t panic — it’s pressure building.
18:26:23.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@Ray_Chartvotes:2 comments:11Buy Bitcoin: You'll thank yourself for your foresight!After repeated fluctuations and tests of support, Bitcoin has established multiple technical support structures below. These supports will be an important basis and catalyst for Bitcoin's recovery and rise! Based on the current structure, Bitcoin has built a complete rounded bottom support; if the second rounded bottom support is successfully tested and verified, Bitcoin still has considerable room for a rebound. Based on the current technical structure, the 65500-63500 range may be accepted by the market as a temporary bottom. Bitcoin is expected to launch a new surge after confirming the validity of this support level! Therefore, if Bitcoin touches the 65500-63500 area during a pullback, I would consider buying Bitcoin. Of course, it can be used as both a short-term and a medium-to-long-term investment!
17:50:19.000KRAKEN:BTCUSD▼ Short@BitsounisProjectvotes:1 comments:0Bitcoin (BTC) the big picture I'm looking atA lot of people are expecting Bitcoin to be at $35,000 and below. Personally, the levels I want to see are 1. For the price to go and get liquidity to the $49,100 level 2. Then we get stuck in a sideways situation until December. Based on the bear market cycle from the peak to where the market changes direction, we want 427 days. So we want another 252 days for Bitcoin to change direction. Always do your research but this is a plan I've been following for a while.
16:32:10.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@BlackPhoenixFXvotes:3 comments:11BTCUSD Bearish Trade Idea / BlackPhoenixFX- Bearish structure on the Daily and H4 structure - Bearish candle confirmation in a POI. Let's see how it plays out.
16:37:52.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@BlackPhoenixFXvotes:1 comments:0BTCUSD long term view / BlackPhoenixFX- Unmiitigated Weekly OB - Inducement - Three breaks engineered liquidity playing out We monitor it together fam?
15:58:17.000BYBIT:BTCUSD.P- N/A@billbancellvotes:0 comments:0BTC HOLD FIB?CAN BTC HOLD THE 0.618 FIB? All the way to the 0.382 fib
15:07:20.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@CandleKing09votes:26 comments:0Bullish Bounce Into High-Volume Supply Area in BTCUSDPrice has formed a clear bearish leg followed by a structured recovery, indicating a short-term shift in momentum after an impulsive sell-off. The current upward move appears corrective, as it is approaching a previously active high-volume zone (“Volume Bursts”), where strong participation and potential supply were present earlier. Such zones often act as reaction areas, as they represent points where the market previously moved aggressively — leaving behind unfilled orders or institutional interest. The ongoing bullish move is now entering this region, suggesting that price is moving into an area where selling pressure may re-emerge. The structure still reflects a broader corrective environment rather than a confirmed bullish reversal. Speculative Outlook If price shows rejection within the volume burst zone — through slowing momentum, wicks, or bearish confirmations — it could lead to a continuation of the broader downside movement, potentially retesting lower liquidity areas. However, if buyers manage to break through and sustain above this high-volume resistance, it would indicate strength and could shift the market into a deeper bullish retracement or short-term reversal phase. The key focus remains on how price behaves inside this zone — rejection favors continuation, while acceptance opens the path for upside expansion.
11:58:09.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@David_Perkvotes:51 comments:1212The 90 Day Mission That Will Change Your Trading ForeverI know people will attack me for this. But, it's possible if you really want something and you isolate yourself and put all the focus and energy in to it. You can make it. Today I will give you exact plan how I would do it, if I have to start from scratch. 1️⃣ First of all stop believing someone has a magic secret formula to be 100% right on the markets. Strategy that makes you rich in a week and solve all your financial problems? No one has it. It doesn't exist. You want Lambo? Ok, materialistic goals can be also driver of your inner motivation, but it's not gonna happen in 90 days. Im talking about learning to trade in 90 days. Not getting rich. 2️⃣ Trading Random Patterns – Price Action Overfitting If you’re trading random patterns and every trade has different logic, then you don’t have an edge. Random trading logic = random results. ‼️ Knowing all these 👇 and fitting them to the chart is not trading edge. Im not saying, these patterns cant work, but you must focus to the one and become a master. Not randomly choosing what fits to the chart today and taking trade on different logic tomorrow. ‼️ If your strategy is trading random patterns you know, You can’t measure strategy performance. ⏩ What you can’t measure — you can’t improve or backtest. ⏩ And that means you’re don't have statistical data - its core of all problems. 💊 Solution: Whatever pattern you like - Head and Shoulders, Triangle, Wedge, Channels, Cup and handle. Whatever but pic one, defined step by step process how you will be trading it. And always use mechanical aprocah how you will be trading it. Narrow criteria for every element of a trade to eliminate subjective decisions. 🛡️ You should have : • Defined your pattern • Method to define key levels • Fixed method how to define a trend • Fixed method how to trade continuation with your pattern • Fixed method how to trade reversal by using your pattern Define one trading pattern ( 1 kick ) Practice it 10 000 times become master 👇 For your inspiration, you can check this strategy, its eliminating subjective decisions. 🔗 Click the picture below to learn more. 👇 Approach information I gave above as Bruce Lee : Adapt useful, Reject useless and something specifically your own. ----------------------------------------------------------------- If you are really committed and not here just for trying but you want it from your heart here it the Plan for the next 90 days for those who has 9 - 5. 1️⃣ Lets Cut Distraction's ❌ 1 . Adjust your phone - Social media and set Do not disturb permanently Delete the apps or block them during your work window. I know it can feel hard, but harder it feels more you need it. Social media and short term content is distraction loop. During the mission Im cutting it completely and I go to this device. In normal life ( I have 30 minutes planned window) Social media are not bad if you visit them with intention. Just for curiosity put phone usage timer on your main desktop you will see how much time you waste daily if its more then 90 minutes, you got it. Thats whats holding you back. ❌ 2. Reduce Social Activity When I am in Monk mode, I say no to most social stuff for a short period of time. No parties, Bar meetings and Alcohol. Not even meeting for coffee. As Im father then family duties must stay. That is non negotiable. But outside of that, I shrink my interactions down to almost zero unless the meeting clearly helps my Monk mode goal. Example ❌If I am focused on passing a prop challenge or backtesting some element I want to add to my strategy and someone invites me to a weekend full of drinking and late nights, it is a hard no. ✅If a trader that also trades same strategy invites me to a serious work session to review data or refine something, I will go. That supports the mission. ❌ 3. Cut porn and junk dopamine completely. This is the uncomfortable part almost nobody wants to talk about, but it matters.If you are constantly stimulating yourself with porn and random adult content, your brain is fried with dopamine. Your focus span goes to zero. Your discipline collapses. • No porn • No “thirst trap” scrolling • No mindless sexual content • No dating apps This should not be only for a monk mode. Porn is cancer for your focus cut it out from your life completely. After a few days without this junk, your energy levels change. You wake up more driven. You sit at the charts and you actually want to work. You start feeling like a hunter again, not a zombie. ❌ 4) Cancel Netflix and stop Watching news Netflix is waste of time. Same is for the news. It doesn't matter knowing what orange mans says or how some sport results ended. You need to focus on your project 2️⃣ Once you ready to cut all above - Lets make a plan now 📅 Plan for people those who has 9 - 5 job First start with your calendar and plan everything 90 days in advance when and where you will be doing your activities that will take you further in the trading. Now lets go here is activities ✅ 1. One Project — Your Core Mission 🎯 This is your main quest, for next 90 days it is powerful, because it removes decision fatigue it could be: • Watching the educational Videos and making notes • Backtesting 300+ trades of one model • Building your strategy framework properly • Creating your full trading plan • Fixing your routine and sticking to it Rules: • Defined Activities - Mission • Work on it daily • Don’t switch • Clear finish line ✅ 2. One book 📖 School didn’t prepare you for trading. You have to learn the parts nobody teaches: • Mindset • Psychology • Discipline • Focus • Execution • Stoicism • Peak performance 30 minutes a day is enough. Books give you depth. Unlike social media gives you shallow noise of social feeds. I suggest you Atomic Habits - from James clear if never read it. Also FLOW from Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi ✅ 3.One meditation - to reset your mind 🧘‍♂️ Meditation is like a gym without weights. I keep it simple. Twenty minutes every day, but you can start with 10 minutes if you didn't meditate ever. You can find some guided meditations on YouTube. But, dont let yourself catch in to a trap by scrolling and finding meditation. Prepare one in advance and put It to the playlist or just: • Sit down • Close your eyes • Focus on your breath • Let thoughts pass without judging or chasing them Meditation help you regain control over your attention ✅ 4..One workout 💪 You can do either gym or calisthenic training. But not hard cardio, rather resistance training that builds strength. Instead of cardio you got walks. When Im in the monk mode I do Powerlifters training. Its simple, it increases your strength and I do not have to think about training complexity to much. I just come to the gym and finish my session in 45 minutes. Measure you max weights and add 10%. Then start with 60% of the weight and add 5% every week. You can do more complex weight progression after 4 weeks but that would be for whole article. Search for Stefan Corte Powerlifting training. But dont overthink it. In Monk mode you want stupid repetitive routine. Squats 6 x 6 - 60% - 65% - 70% - 75% Bench 6 x 6 - 60% - 65% - 70% - 75% Deadlift 6 x 6 - 60% - 65% - 70% - 75% 👉 Train hard 3 times a week - Mo / We / FR .. take a break on the weekends. 👉 Other 3 days focus on mobility training and stretching 👉 Take a break one day Don't forget for 10 minutes warm Do proper stretching after the training session. ✅ 5. Long walks (No phone , No music) 🚶‍♂️🌲 Long walks for clarity and aha moments. I go out for around 60 minutes, ideally in nature, with no phone and no music. Just walking, being present and thinking on my project TIP - if you go for walk on the mornings and fasted, you body will take energy from fats. As you are in the mode when focusing on project. Ideas begin to connect. You ll start seeing patterns, solutions, better rules. Many parts of my strategies, my routines, even my lifestyle changes were born on these walks. ✅ 6. Eat like an athlete, not a garbage bin 🥦 Food is another big lever. On your mission work in a light, fasted state during the main focus hours. I have my first real meal after I finish my most important work for the day. Before that I of course drink water, but nothing that spikes blood sugar. Because when you are full, heavy and bloated, your brain slows down. That is the last thing you want when you need to do deep work. Keep it simple 1. Protein 2. Good carbs 3. Healthy fats 4. Minimal junk Obviously in normal life I sometimes eat in Mc Donald or have Popcorn when taking daughter to the cinema. But No pizza and chips, No such a things in Monk mode. You are trying to become sharp, not sleepy. 🎯 Thats all easy said but how to do it. You will most likely fail in the discipline, but it doesnt mean you cant start again over and over. Adjust your schedule, when you remove Netflix, Social media and contacts you gain new time, but you will have to put it somewhere in a day. I highly suggest to make it on the morning because after work you will be tired and your focus will not be so sharp. You can do it , I believe in you. It's not possible to be on a Mission for whole year but you can disappear for some time and level up few times in a year. Im still doing it time to time when Im working on myself in trading, fitness or something in personal development. David Perk 🟣 I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of mistakes, trial and errors I went thru. 📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy ⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy 🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation 🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal 🧱 Key Level – Order Block 📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs 1️⃣ CLS Model 1 Explanation 2️⃣ CLS Model 2 Explanation ⚡ Order Block Master 🔮 FVG Mastery 💯 Institutional Levels ⏰ 9:30 Strategy 🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks 💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand 🕒 Timeframe Alignments 🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps 🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method 🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading 🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions 🇬🇧 London Session Trading 🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal 📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets 🎣 Stop Hunt Trading 💧 Liquidity Sweep Mastery 🔪 Asia Session Setups 📀 Gold Strategy 🧠 Level Up & Mindset 🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading ⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success 🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily 💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan 🧪 Winning Trading Plan ⭕ Backtesting vs Reality ❌ Don't Fear Being Wrong ✅ Advice For Beginners 🛡️ Risk Management 🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading 📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size 🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency 🧪 Risk Reward vs Win Ratio 💎 Catch High Risk Reward Setups ☯️ Smart Money - Who control Markets 🔱 Risk Reward vs Win rate ⚠️ CLS Risk Management 💊 Survive Loosing Streak
13:31:59.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▼ Short@Chuck_Wilsonvotes:1 comments:0BTCUSD Analysis: Key Support and Game Amid Geopolitical RisksBitcoin prices rebounded after testing the $65,000 mark and are currently hovering around $67,500, exhibiting a typical "sharp drop, slow rise" recovery structure. Risk assets were under significant pressure due to escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and soaring oil prices, but Bitcoin showed some support at key support levels. The daily chart shows that the price is still in a downtrend, but the hourly chart shows signs of bottoming out. First Support: $65,750 - $65,900 (Recent low area, key support on the hourly chart) Core Support: $65,000 (Psychological level; a break below this level would indicate a weakening trend) Defensive Support: $64,200 - $63,500 (Downside target) Resistance: $68,500 (Confirmation level for a rebound, near the 100-hour moving average) Strong Resistance: $69,200 - $70,000 (Upper edge of the range) Aggressive traders can consider a small long position near $66,000. Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to the $65,200-$65,500 area to enter in batches. If the rebound to the $68,200-$68,500 area is met with resistance, a short position can be considered. We welcome all traders to share their opinions, and let's move forward together in this market. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
13:37:19.000BINANCE:BTCUSD- N/A@bullbearmagnetvotes:1 comments:11BTC Bear Trend Weekly UpdateTrend #BTCUSDT remains in a clear weekly downtrend after continued rejection below resistance. Price structure shows lower highs, and the recent bounce has not changed the higher timeframe trend. Key support 60K remains the major support level to watch. Bear scenario A breakdown below 60K could lead to continuation toward the 50K region. Bull scenario For bulls to regain control, Bitcoin needs a weekly close above 85K. That would be the first signal of potential trend shift. Conclusion Until 85K is reclaimed on a weekly basis, the trend remains bearish and upside moves are likely to stay corrective. If you’re interested in how I break down charts, you can check my profile.
12:58:49.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@Willie_Colettevotes:2 comments:0Traders may continue to reference this analysis for BTC trading. Based on chart analysis, BTC/USD is currently in a rebound trend. In the short term, attention should be focused on the support zone between $64,200 and $63,700. If the price breaks below this zone, it could potentially test the area around $61,800. Conversely, short-term attention must also be paid to the selling pressure zone ranging from $68,600 to $71,200; a sustained rebound can only be achieved once the price firmly establishes itself above this level. Trading Core: Continuously monitor these detailed and accurate signal channels or engage in personal communication. Traders who follow these signals will eventually succeed.
12:31:39.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@mindfullylostvotes:2 comments:11BTC Range Bound Between Demand and Supply: Awaiting DirectionGood Morning, Hope all is well. Here is another update on BTC. 🧠 1. Higher Timeframe (Weekly) – Macro Structure Your weekly chart is doing most of the heavy lifting here. Key observations: Clear distribution → breakdown Lower highs forming after the ~$120K region Price now sitting around ~67K support Marked demand zone below (~60K–65K) Interpretation: Market is in a corrective phase, not a confirmed bear market yet Structure = range-to-downtrend transition Your note “downward pressure until broken” is accurate 👉 Important level: ~85K = major supply / invalidation of bearish pressure Until that breaks → bias remains bearish or neutral 📊 2. Daily Timeframe – Reaction Zone (Corrected to Demand) You corrected this to demand zone, and that makes sense. What price is doing: Strong selloff → base forming Multiple rejections inside ~60K–65K zone Beginning of a rounded bottom attempt Interpretation: This is early accumulation OR just a pause before continuation Not yet a confirmed reversal 👉 What confirms strength: Break above ~72K–74K Then reclaim of ~80K 👉 What confirms weakness: Loss of ~60K zone Then next leg down likely accelerates ⚡ 3. 4H Timeframe – Structure + Order Flow This is where we see intent. Observations: Clean downtrend (lower highs → lower lows) Price swept into demand (~64K–65K) and bounced Your marked supply: ~70.7K – 72.1K = strong resistance Interpretation: Current move up = relief rally Not bullish yet — just reacting from demand 👉 Key concept: Price is trapped between demand (65K) and supply (~72K) 🔍 4. 1H Timeframe – Short-Term Momentum Zooming in: Observations: Break in short-term structure (first higher highs) Strong bounce from demand zone Gradual grind upward (healthy, not impulsive) Interpretation: Short-term = bullish momentum Medium-term = still bearish context 👉 This is classic: “Bullish lower timeframe inside bearish higher timeframe” 🧩 Multi-Timeframe Summary Timeframe Bias Weekly Bearish / corrective Daily Neutral (early accumulation attempt) 4H Bearish (in rally) 1H Bullish (short-term bounce) 🌍 Economic & Macro Factors (VERY Important for BTC now) 1. Interest Rates (Fed Policy) If rates stay high → risk assets struggle If rate cuts begin → bullish catalyst 👉 BTC thrives on liquidity expansion 2. Dollar Strength (DXY) Strong USD = pressure on BTC Weak USD = bullish BTC 3. Institutional Flows (ETFs) Spot BTC ETFs = major driver Watch: Net inflows → bullish continuation Outflows → downside pressure 4. Liquidity Cycles Right now we’re likely in: Post-rally cooling phase Liquidity not aggressively expanding yet 🎯 Key Levels to Watch 🟢 Demand: 65K–60K (critical support) Loss of this = likely mid-50Ks next 🔴 Supply: 70.7K–72.1K (short-term rejection zone) 85K (major trend shift level) 🔮 Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Hold 65K Break and hold above 72K Then: 75K → 80K → 85K Weekly trend flips bullish above 85K 🔴 Bearish Scenario (More likely currently): Reject at 70K–72K Roll over Break 65K Then: 60K → 55K sweep (high probability liquidity target) 🟡 Neutral / Range: Chop between 65K–72K Build accumulation before next move ⚠️ Key Insight (Most Important Takeaway) Right now, this is: A relief rally inside a broader corrective structure Until 72K and especially 85K are reclaimed, the market: Is not truly bullish yet Is just reacting to demand Weekly: Daily: 4H: Trade Safely! Enjoy
12:39:08.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@Willie_Colettevotes:1 comments:0Why Does $70,000 Remain a Key Price Level for Bitcoin? The primary resistance level currently stands at $70,000. If the price successfully breaks through this level, it could attract momentum buyers and pave the way for a rally into the mid-$70,000 range; conversely, if it fails to breach this threshold once again, Bitcoin’s price may remain range-bound for an extended period. However, the fact that Bitcoin continues to hold firm above the $60,000 mark—even after undergoing a significant correction—suggests that the market is still attempting to establish a bottom. At this juncture, the key takeaway is this: Bitcoin does not necessarily need to stage an immediate, massive surge, but it *does* need to demonstrate that sellers are losing their grip on the market. If this scenario unfolds, a price recovery back to $70,000 this week could become a reality. Otherwise, the market may continue to frustrate both bulls and bears for some time to come.
08:11:37.000OANDA:BTCUSD- N/A@Trade8Eightvotes:1 comments:11Fundamental Note: BTCUSD 30 Mar 2026Bitcoin is trading near $67.3K after failing to hold the mid-$70K rebound, and the latest crypto-native data still points to a fragile recovery rather than a confirmed trend reversal. BTC has stabilized after the selloff to ~$67K, but upside momentum remains tentative: spot volumes are still subdued, realized losses remain elevated without full capitulation, perpetual funding stays negative, and futures open interest is still relatively muted. February was a deep liquidity damage month for crypto, with total market cap down 22.6% to $2.36T and the Fear & Greed Index briefly falling to 5, which confirms that BTC is still trading inside a weak-conviction macro backdrop. Institutional/regulated demand is not fully clean yet, with the latest daily spot BTC ETF flow still negative at roughly -2.40K BTC / -$171.3M, while derivatives remain active with recent 24h liquidations around $250M–$350M and open interest still above $100B. In the charts you attached, the bearish overlay becomes even clearer: global M2 YoY is rolling over, Strategy bought roughly 46K BTC by mid-March while other corporate buyers’ share collapsed to about 2%, so corporate demand currently looks heavily concentrated in one player. The long-term-holder breakeven zone around $48.5K–$36.5K, which remains the deeper bear-market support area if the current range finally breaks. 🟢 Bullish factors: Negative funding and relatively muted futures OI reduce the risk of an overcrowded long setup and leave room for a short squeeze if sentiment improves. ETF and DAT flows improved on a broader basis after February’s heavy outflows, which is an early sign of institutional re-engagement. Strategy’s aggressive BTC accumulation is still a meaningful support factor on the corporate demand side. The long-term-holder breakeven/support zone at $48.5K–$36.5K remains a major structural downside buffer in a full stress scenario. 🔴 Bearish factors: Still sees subdued spot volumes, elevated realized losses, and only selective dip-buying — not a high-conviction recovery. March view still reflects damaged market liquidity after February’s 22.6% crypto-cap drawdown and extreme fear conditions. The latest daily spot BTC ETF flow remains negative, while liquidations and open interest confirm leverage is still materially present. Rolling-over global M2 and the collapse in non-Strategy corporate buying keep the broader demand picture fragile. 🎯 Expected targets: Neutral-to-bearish while BTC stays below 70,000–72,500 . The first downside zone is 64,000–62,500 ; if that breaks, 58,000–55,000 becomes the next likely range. A deeper washout can expose 48,500–36,500 , which matches the long-term-holder support zone shown in your chart. On the bullish side, a reclaim of 72,500–75,000 would improve the structure and open 80,000–82,000 next.
08:12:46.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@Sive-Mortenvotes:4 comments:0BTC BOUNCE TO 69-69.5KMorning folks, So, Friday setup worked as it should, as BTC dropped out from our wedge pattern. Now it hits 5/8 Fib level around 65K and formed "222" Buy" pattern. Although we keep our long-term bearish context intact, in nearest 1-2 sessions, it could bounce to 69-69.5K area at least. So, we do not take any bearish positions right now:
08:26:17.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@BitCoinGuidevotes:4 comments:22MARCH 27 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. In real-time, following the decline in the Nasdaq, all stock markets are plummeting. As explained, I hope you can hold out well just until this March. *Long Position Strategy based on the movement path of the red finger 1. $65,390.7 Long Position Entry Zone / Stop Loss if broken below the light blue support line 2. $68,449.1 Long Position 1st Target -> Target prices in the order of Top, Good, and Great until the weekend Please check if it breaks below the green support line. From the point of breaking the light blue support line, the Bottom -> is open up to a maximum of $61,222.5. Please use my analysis posts only for reference and practical application, and I hope you operate safely by strictly adhering to trading principles and stop-loss orders. You worked hard this week. Thank you.
08:43:56.000BYBIT:BTCUSD.P- N/A@outklavotes:1 comments:0bitcoin has to continue bearishit looks like it complete its expanding flat correction is further continuation to the down side
10:43:48.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▼ Short@linofx1votes:2 comments:0BITCOIN (BTC/USD): Classic Trend-Following PatternI see a significant bearish pattern on 📉BITCOIN a daily timeframe. The price formed a bearish flag. Trading in a bearish trend, the violation of a support of the flag is a strong trend-following signal. Consequently, we might anticipate a downward movement towards the 60,000 level.
10:59:02.000BINANCE:BTCUSD▼ Short@FlipMarketvotes:1 comments:0BTCUSD Market Overview: Understanding Bitcoin's Current CycleBitcoin in 2026 is not behaving the way many traders expected after 2025's historic run. Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $126,073 on October 6, 2025. Since then the story has been one of steady deterioration, macro interference, and a market searching for its footing. Understanding what is actually happening — and why — is more valuable right now than any price prediction. This article breaks down the current BTCUSD market environment for traders at every experience level. Where Bitcoin Stands Right Now The current BTC price as of March 30, 2026 is approximately $67,564. That represents roughly a 42% drawdown from the October 2025 peak — a decline driven by concentrated institutional positioning, macro risk-off episodes, and tariff-driven market stress. Bitcoin has spent weeks trapped inside a $60,000 to $72,000 consolidation range at 2024 price levels, with the 50 EMA consistently capping the upper boundary. For traders, that kind of prolonged sideways action after a major decline carries specific implications for strategy and risk management. What Is Actually Driving This Market The ETF Effect — Both Ways The launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs was widely celebrated as a structural milestone for institutional adoption — and it was. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.13 billion in net inflows in March 2026 alone, with inflows early in the month before a $296 million outflow in the week ending March 27. But the ETF narrative cuts both ways. The same institutional sensitivity that drove BTC to $126,000 also contributed to the sharp drawdown when macro conditions shifted. Institutional capital flows faster and in larger size than retail — which amplifies both rallies and corrections. Traders who understand this dynamic are better positioned to interpret price action during ETF flow-driven moves. Macro and Geopolitical Forces Bitcoin dropped to the $60,000 to $62,500 zone twice in late February, dragged lower by the Iran war shock that simultaneously sent gold surging to $5,400 and oil spiking 13%. The important observation here is how Bitcoin behaved — it moved with equities during that geopolitical shock, not against them like gold did. This matters enormously for how traders classify and position Bitcoin. In risk-off environments Bitcoin has repeatedly demonstrated that it behaves more like a risk asset than a safe haven. When safe-haven assets sold off aggressively, leveraged crypto positions got margin-called in the crossfire. Understanding Bitcoin's macro correlation profile — rather than assuming it will always act as digital gold — is one of the most practically important lessons the current cycle is teaching. Institutional Accumulation Beneath the Surface Despite the price weakness, large capital is quietly accumulating. MicroStrategy extended its buying streak to 13 consecutive weeks, accumulating approximately 90,831 BTC to bring its total holdings to approximately 762,099 BTC at an average cost of $75,694. Abu Dhabi's major investment firms Mubadala Investment Company and Al Warda Investments added spot Bitcoin ETF exposure in mid-February — while reactive capital was fleeing. The divergence between institutional accumulation and short-term price weakness is not unusual in Bitcoin's history. It does not guarantee a floor — but it is a data point worth tracking. The Technical Picture Bitcoin has recovered toward the $73,000 to $74,000 range, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and a fresh wave of short liquidations. But the broader technical structure remains challenged. The 50 EMA continues to cap the upper boundary of the consolidation range, and the bearish Bitcoin price prediction targets $35,000 — the 100% retracement of this year's decline — nearly 50% below current levels according to more bearish technical scenarios. The key levels traders should have on their charts right now are clear. The $60,000 to $62,500 zone has been tested twice and held — making it the most important support level in the current structure. A break below that level with conviction changes the technical picture significantly. To the upside, $98,000 has become the main resistance on the way up — producing a strong rejection previously — making $100,000 the psychological barrier that bulls need to reclaim to shift the broader trend. What the Cycle Data Suggests Bitcoin's price cycles follow recognizable patterns — not perfectly, but consistently enough to be worth studying. Historically, Bitcoin bear markets have lasted 12 to 13 months. The most recent peak occurred in October 2025. If the current cycle follows past patterns, the downturn could extend into late 2026 when priced in USD. However, priced in gold the picture looks different. Bitcoin reached its high against gold in January 2025 — and applying the same 12 to 13 month pattern would place a potential bottom around February 2026, with recovery possibly beginning in March. Large-scale investors or whales are treating the current downturn as an accumulation zone — a pattern that has historically preceded recoveries. That does not mean the bottom is confirmed. But it does mean the market structure is consistent with what accumulation phases have looked like in previous cycles. The Institutional Forecast Range The spread of institutional forecasts for Bitcoin in 2026 is extraordinary and worth understanding not as a guide to where price will go but as a measure of genuine uncertainty in the market. Macroeconomist Henrik Zeberg's primary scenario targets $110,000 to $120,000 in 2026, fueled by risk-on sentiment, ETF inflows, and continued institutional adoption — with a 25% probability secondary scenario of $140,000 to $150,000 if the cycle extends. JPMorgan's model targets $170,000 while Fundstrat has a bull case above $400,000. On the conservative end, Carol Alexander projects a range of $75,000 to $150,000. A spread from $75,000 to $400,000 is not a forecast range — it is an acknowledgment that nobody knows. The most honest position for any trader is to manage the position they have rather than betting on where price will end the year. Three Things Every BTCUSD Trader Should Understand Right Now Bitcoin behaves like a risk asset in macro stress. The Iran geopolitical shock confirmed this again. When equities sell off sharply and margin calls cascade through leveraged markets, Bitcoin sells with them. Traders who position Bitcoin as a pure safe haven are taking on correlation risk they may not fully appreciate. The consolidation range is the most important technical feature. Bitcoin has gone nowhere on a net basis for weeks, trapped between $60,000 and $72,000. Breakouts from extended consolidation ranges — in either direction — tend to carry momentum. Watch the boundaries of this range closely and have a plan for both scenarios before the break happens rather than after. Dollar cost averaging has historical support in fear environments. Buying during periods of fear has historically been more effective than buying during euphoria — and statistically, current price levels are in the zone where the best average prices are usually built. This does not mean the bottom is in. But it is a framework that has worked across multiple Bitcoin cycles for patient, risk-managed participants. Key Levels to Watch Current price ────── approximately $67,564 Major support ────── $60,000 to $62,500 tested twice — critical level Upper resistance ─── $72,000 to $73,000 50 EMA capping this zone Key bull target ──── $90,000 to $98,000 needed for trend reversal Psychological ────── $100,000 major barrier for bulls Bear scenario ────── $50,000 to $35,000 if $60,000 support breaks Final Thought Bitcoin in 2026 is in a phase that rewards patience and punishes conviction. The structural story — fixed supply, growing institutional adoption, ETF accessibility, and sovereign accumulation — remains intact. But the short-term environment is defined by macro uncertainty, geopolitical volatility, and a technical structure that has not yet resolved its direction. The traders who navigate this phase successfully will not be the ones with the most accurate price prediction. They will be the ones with the clearest risk management framework, the most disciplined position sizing, and the patience to let the market reveal its direction rather than forcing a conclusion. Watch $60,000. Respect the 50 EMA. Let the consolidation break tell you what comes next.
11:49:31.000BYBIT:BTCUSD.P▲ Long@BitCoinGuidevotes:5 comments:0MARCH 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. In the bottom left, I have connected the strategy exactly to the entry point of the long position I entered on the 27th at $65,390.7, indicated by the purple finger. *Long Position Strategy based on the red finger's movement path 1. Long position entry point at $67,346.5 / Stop loss if broken below the green support line 2. 1st target for the long position at $68,854 -> Top zone $69,535 2nd target Please be cautious, as a break below the green support line could lead to a decline to the bottom -> level 1. Please use my analysis post only as a reference and for practical application. I hope you operate safely by strictly adhering to trading principles and using stop loss measures. Thank you.
08:12:46.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@Trade8Eightvotes:1 comments:11Fundamental Note: BTCUSD 30 Mar 2026Bitcoin is trading near $67.3K after failing to hold the mid-$70K rebound, and the latest crypto-native data still points to a fragile recovery rather than a confirmed trend reversal. BTC has stabilized after the selloff to ~$67K, but upside momentum remains tentative: spot volumes are still subdued, realized losses remain elevated without full capitulation, perpetual funding stays negative, and futures open interest is still relatively muted. February was a deep liquidity damage month for crypto, with total market cap down 22.6% to $2.36T and the Fear & Greed Index briefly falling to 5, which confirms that BTC is still trading inside a weak-conviction macro backdrop. Institutional/regulated demand is not fully clean yet, with the latest daily spot BTC ETF flow still negative at roughly -2.40K BTC / -$171.3M, while derivatives remain active with recent 24h liquidations around $250M–$350M and open interest still above $100B. In the charts you attached, the bearish overlay becomes even clearer: global M2 YoY is rolling over, Strategy bought roughly 46K BTC by mid-March while other corporate buyers’ share collapsed to about 2%, so corporate demand currently looks heavily concentrated in one player. The long-term-holder breakeven zone around $48.5K–$36.5K, which remains the deeper bear-market support area if the current range finally breaks. 🟢 Bullish factors: Negative funding and relatively muted futures OI reduce the risk of an overcrowded long setup and leave room for a short squeeze if sentiment improves. ETF and DAT flows improved on a broader basis after February’s heavy outflows, which is an early sign of institutional re-engagement. Strategy’s aggressive BTC accumulation is still a meaningful support factor on the corporate demand side. The long-term-holder breakeven/support zone at $48.5K–$36.5K remains a major structural downside buffer in a full stress scenario. 🔴 Bearish factors: Still sees subdued spot volumes, elevated realized losses, and only selective dip-buying — not a high-conviction recovery. March view still reflects damaged market liquidity after February’s 22.6% crypto-cap drawdown and extreme fear conditions. The latest daily spot BTC ETF flow remains negative, while liquidations and open interest confirm leverage is still materially present. Rolling-over global M2 and the collapse in non-Strategy corporate buying keep the broader demand picture fragile. 🎯 Expected targets: Neutral-to-bearish while BTC stays below 70,000–72,500 . The first downside zone is 64,000–62,500 ; if that breaks, 58,000–55,000 becomes the next likely range. A deeper washout can expose 48,500–36,500 , which matches the long-term-holder support zone shown in your chart. On the bullish side, a reclaim of 72,500–75,000 would improve the structure and open 80,000–82,000 next.
06:19:03.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@joetamale128votes:1 comments:0BTC USDHI GUYS, UPDATE ON BTC USD my technical analysis says, we had a false even number on (wed, thur) sell price pattern that i noticed abit late. which means there is a possible extension this week as we hunt down an accurate (wed, thur) price pattern and a correction on (fri, mon) continuation sell entry. NOTE I cud be wrong but all will be clear tomorrow as illustrated above, which means we wait for price pattern (mon, tue) on the two bottoms which is estimated trigger time 6am tomorrow possible buys
07:54:49.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@ephraimiykkvotes:1 comments:0Bullish continuation BTCUSD BTC Setup – Bullish Continuation 📈 Price is showing strength after reclaiming $66,400 and pushing higher with increasing buying pressure. 📌 Entry: $67,600 (Long on confirmation) 🎯 Target: $69,000 🚧 Resistance: $67,900 🛑 Stop Loss: $66,900 Current structure suggests: • Higher lows forming → bullish momentum building • Buyers in control after failed breakdown (bear trap) • Watching for a clean break & hold above $67.9K ⚠️ I’m not blindly entering — I want confirmation above resistance before full conviction. If resistance rejects, I’ll step back and reassess for a possible pullback. My honest take: Yes, it’s okay to go long — but only if: Price holds above 67.9K, or You get a strong bullish candle / retest confirmation Otherwise, you’re entering right under resistance, which is risky.
08:11:37.000OANDA:BTCUSD▲ Long@Sive-Mortenvotes:4 comments:0BTC BOUNCE TO 69-69.5KMorning folks, So, Friday setup worked as it should, as BTC dropped out from our wedge pattern. Now it hits 5/8 Fib level around 65K and formed "222" Buy" pattern. Although we keep our long-term bearish context intact, in nearest 1-2 sessions, it could bounce to 69-69.5K area at least. So, we do not take any bearish positions right now:
08:26:17.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@outklavotes:1 comments:0bitcoin has to continue bearishit looks like it complete its expanding flat correction is further continuation to the down side
10:01:31.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▲ Long@Pro_Trader_analystvotes:1 comments:0Trendline with Elliott Wave Trendline show Bearish. Wave 2 retrace 38.2% of Wave 1 Wave 4 retrace 38.2% of Wave 3 We are expecting wave 5 at 60,000 to and extension at 50,000 (127.2%) SELL at 67450 ST - 68500 TP1 - 64820 TP 2 - 63860 TP 3 - 60,000 Note RSI Converge and below 50 ADX is below 50
10:03:47.000ICMARKETS:BTCUSD- N/A@EXCAVOvotes:31 comments:33You're Not Reading the Chart. You're Defending It. Technical Analysis Doesn't Work. And Here's Why That's Your Mistake The chart told you everything. You just didn't want to hear it. That's not a market problem. That's a you problem - and it has a name. Confirmation bias. Most people reading this are committing it right now. The ones who just thought "not me" - those are exactly the ones I mean. You open the chart already knowing you want to buy. From that moment, your brain operates as a lawyer, not a judge. Bullish divergence on RSI? Noticed. Potential double bottom? Noticed. Bearish engulfing on the daily? Missed. Volume declining into the rally? Didn't see it. This is the architecture of the mind. It is not a flaw you can fix with discipline alone. You cannot fix it until you start your analysis from the opposite end of the chart entirely. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Three moments in Bitcoin's history where the crowd saw one thing and the market did another November 2021. BTC breaks $69,000. Everyone sees a flag on the weekly, targets $100,000. I was looking at the same chart and seeing Wyckoff distribution - the same signals, interpreted through a different lens. The majority didn't want to see it. Bitcoin spent the next 12 months collapsing to $15,500. January 2023. BTC recovers to $23,000. "Bear market is over." "New bull cycle." I wrote at the time: this is a bear market rally, not a reversal. Those who saw what they wanted to see bought at $23,000 and sold at a loss a month later. September 13, 2025. BTC at $95,000–$100,000. I closed all positions and published a post: the bull market is over. (The post is on my TradingView profile - the date is there, the words are there.) Three months later, those who saw only upside had lost 30–40%. This is not a claim. It is a record. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ One shift that changes everything Stop building analysis from a thesis. Build it from falsification. Before entering any trade, ask yourself one question: what would have to happen on this chart for me to admit I was wrong? Most traders cannot answer this. They enter without knowing when they're wrong. That's not analysis - it's gambling with a professional aesthetic. Real analysis starts with locating liquidity. Where are the stops? Where does the market need to go to collect liquidity before the real move begins? When you look at a chart through this lens, you stop seeing patterns and start seeing mechanics. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ What this looks like on the current chart Right now, BTC is trading around $67,000. The majority sees a correction. A temporary pullback - before the continuation. That's the consensus. And the consensus is almost always where the liquidity sits. On the weekly chart, the picture is different. My Liquidity Sweep indicator (available on my TradingView profile) shows activated bearish zones. Price has left the distribution range ($95,000–$120,000) and is moving structurally lower. The red arrow on the chart is not a scare tactic. It is mechanics. Where are the stops of everyone "buying the dip"? Clustered directly below current support. The key liquidity zone: $47,000–$50,000. That is where the market needs to go before any credible case for reversal can be made. Where BTC goes from here - the market will answer. What I'm telling you is this: traders buying the "correction" have already decided. They're not reading the chart anymore. They're reading permission slips. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Anti-bias checklist before entry Write these down. On paper. Not in your head. 1. What do I see on this chart that argues against my idea? If you can't find one thing - you're not analyzing. You're praying. 2. Where are the stops of traders who think exactly like me - and is there a scenario where the market sweeps those stops before going where I expect? 3. If I were already positioned against this trade, what would I see? 4. What is the specific level - not a range, a level - at which I will say: I was wrong? If you cannot answer question four, do not open the position. The market does not care about your thesis. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Here is a paradox worth writing down and taping above your monitor: The most dangerous trader is not the one who ignores technical analysis. The most dangerous trader is the one who has mastered it — and uses that mastery to justify what he already wanted to do. Knowledge gives you more tools to build a case. It gives you no immunity from building the wrong one. The more you know - the more convincing your mistake sounds. Technical analysis works. It works very well. Just not in the hands of a trader who uses it to confirm a decision made before the chart was even opened. Best Regards, EXCAVO
10:19:15.000BINANCE:BTCUSD▲ Long@Willie_Colettevotes:1 comments:0You Must Know About BTC 200-Week Moving Average Trend AnalysisCurrently, Bitcoin's price sits well above its 200-week moving average—a highly bullish signal for the asset. The rationale for this can be traced back to past market cycles, during which the 200-week moving average consistently served as a critical level to either defend or break through. Delving into past cycles, Bitcoin's price successfully held above the 200-week moving average in 2015. In the subsequent bull run, the price skyrocketed to $20,000. Similarly, in 2019, this same 200-week moving average held firm; the ensuing bull market ultimately peaked at $69,000 in 2021. Even during the third instance of this phenomenon in 2023—despite the price briefly dipping below $20,000—Bitcoin successfully defended the 200-week moving average. The bulls were ultimately rewarded as the price reached $126,000 in 2025. Given this historical trend, the conclusion is clear: Bitcoin's price trading *above* the 200-week moving average constitutes a bullish signal, just as a breakdown *below* this level serves as a bearish signal. This is precisely why holding this specific level remains of paramount importance for the bulls.
10:23:50.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@VasilyTradervotes:3 comments:11BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Not a Good Sign?! Bitcoin broke and closed below a support line of a bearish flag pattern on a daily time frame. It is a very important signal that indicates a highly probable down trend continuation. The price may drop to 60000 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
10:30:30.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@Willie_Colettevotes:1 comments:0BTC Price Must Not Fall Below $59,000According to analysis, Bitcoin's current 200-week moving average sits at $59,000. This immediately establishes itself as a critical price level that the bulls must defend. As long as Bitcoin's price remains above $59,000, "every dip presents a prime opportunity." This implies that now could be an excellent time to buy. If historical trends are anything to go by, holding the 200-week moving average suggests that Bitcoin's price will... go on to set a new all-time high. As the analysis notes: "The macro structure remains bullish. Do not let short-term panic shake your confidence." Alternatively, the price could break below this 200-week moving average. This could have catastrophic consequences for Bitcoin, as it would signify that the cryptocurrency has officially entered a bear market. It could also foreshadow a broader downward trend, with prices continuing to slide lower before eventually bottoming out and rebounding. INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
10:30:48.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@Cartelavotes:3 comments:0$BTCUSD MIGHT ENCOUNTER A RELIEF!Bias: Bullish Btc price is holding firm at the $65k support level and we’re likely to see a relief in btc after it dropped significantly from ATH of $126k to $60k level. We may encounter a recovery to $90k. Technically, price is bouncing off a descending dynamic resistance trendline after it broke to the upside. We’ve also seen a Doji candle which also validates possible buy scenario. A buy opportunity is envisaged.
10:31:32.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@John_Isigevotes:1 comments:0Bitcoin Tests $65,625 Support as Geopolitical Risks Pressure Bitcoin continues to trade under pressure, with BTC/USD testing the $65,625 level, a key support within the broader sideways range. Rising geopolitical tensions and tightening monetary expectations are limiting bullish momentum. The escalation of the Middle East conflict remains the primary driver of bearish sentiment. ⸻ Geopolitical Risks Increase Market Uncertainty Over the weekend, new developments intensified concerns: • Ansar Allah signaled readiness to join hostilities • Risks of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb blockade increased • Oil transport routes may shift around Africa • Shipping costs and inflation risks rising In addition: • IRGC reported strikes on aluminum facilities • White House reportedly considering ground operations • Inflation risks continue to rise globally These developments increase risk-off sentiment across financial markets. ⸻ Fed Policy and Macro Pressure Bitcoin Higher inflation risks could lead to: • Prolonged Fed tightening • Delayed rate cuts • Stronger US dollar Current data: • Inflation: 2.4% YoY • Core inflation: 2.5% • Labor market remains stable Upcoming US labor data may influence market direction. ⸻ Strategy Pause Adds Pressure Additional downside risk emerged after: • No new purchases from Strategy Inc. • Concerns about institutional demand slowdown However, analysts note: • Retail selling increasing • Institutions accumulating This creates mixed sentiment. ⸻ Technical Analysis BTC remains within the 65,625–75,000 range: • Price near lower boundary • Downside risk remains elevated Indicators: • Bollinger Bands: flat • MACD: neutral • Stochastic: potential reversal ➡️ Market remains range-bound with bearish bias ⸻ Key Levels Resistance • 70,000 • 75,000 • 81,250 Support • 65,625 • 59,375 • 56,250 ⸻ Trading Scenarios Bearish Scenario Sell below 65,625 • Entry: 65,600 • Targets: 59,375 → 56,250 • Stop-loss: 68,800 • Timeframe: 5–7 days ⸻ Bullish Scenario Buy above 70,000 • Entry: 70,100 • Targets: 75,000 → 81,250 • Stop-loss: 66,700 ⸻ Outlook Bitcoin remains pressured by: • Geopolitical risks • Fed policy uncertainty • Risk-off sentiment • Break below 65,625 → bearish continuation • Break above 70,000 → bullish recovery Short-term outlook remains neutral-to-bearish.
11:18:07.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@FlipMarketvotes:2 comments:11BTCUSD Market Overview: Understanding Bitcoin's Current CycleBitcoin in 2026 is not behaving the way many traders expected after 2025's historic run. Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $126,073 on October 6, 2025. Since then the story has been one of steady deterioration, macro interference, and a market searching for its footing. Understanding what is actually happening — and why — is more valuable right now than any price prediction. This article breaks down the current BTCUSD market environment for traders at every experience level. Where Bitcoin Stands Right Now The current BTC price as of March 30, 2026 is approximately $67,564. That represents roughly a 42% drawdown from the October 2025 peak — a decline driven by concentrated institutional positioning, macro risk-off episodes, and tariff-driven market stress. Bitcoin has spent weeks trapped inside a $60,000 to $72,000 consolidation range at 2024 price levels, with the 50 EMA consistently capping the upper boundary. For traders, that kind of prolonged sideways action after a major decline carries specific implications for strategy and risk management. What Is Actually Driving This Market The ETF Effect — Both Ways The launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs was widely celebrated as a structural milestone for institutional adoption — and it was. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.13 billion in net inflows in March 2026 alone, with inflows early in the month before a $296 million outflow in the week ending March 27. But the ETF narrative cuts both ways. The same institutional sensitivity that drove BTC to $126,000 also contributed to the sharp drawdown when macro conditions shifted. Institutional capital flows faster and in larger size than retail — which amplifies both rallies and corrections. Traders who understand this dynamic are better positioned to interpret price action during ETF flow-driven moves. Macro and Geopolitical Forces Bitcoin dropped to the $60,000 to $62,500 zone twice in late February, dragged lower by the Iran war shock that simultaneously sent gold surging to $5,400 and oil spiking 13%. The important observation here is how Bitcoin behaved — it moved with equities during that geopolitical shock, not against them like gold did. This matters enormously for how traders classify and position Bitcoin. In risk-off environments Bitcoin has repeatedly demonstrated that it behaves more like a risk asset than a safe haven. When safe-haven assets sold off aggressively, leveraged crypto positions got margin-called in the crossfire. Understanding Bitcoin's macro correlation profile — rather than assuming it will always act as digital gold — is one of the most practically important lessons the current cycle is teaching. Institutional Accumulation Beneath the Surface Despite the price weakness, large capital is quietly accumulating. MicroStrategy extended its buying streak to 13 consecutive weeks, accumulating approximately 90,831 BTC to bring its total holdings to approximately 762,099 BTC at an average cost of $75,694. Abu Dhabi's major investment firms Mubadala Investment Company and Al Warda Investments added spot Bitcoin ETF exposure in mid-February — while reactive capital was fleeing. The divergence between institutional accumulation and short-term price weakness is not unusual in Bitcoin's history. It does not guarantee a floor — but it is a data point worth tracking. The Technical Picture Bitcoin has recovered toward the $73,000 to $74,000 range, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and a fresh wave of short liquidations. But the broader technical structure remains challenged. The 50 EMA continues to cap the upper boundary of the consolidation range, and the bearish Bitcoin price prediction targets $35,000 — the 100% retracement of this year's decline — nearly 50% below current levels according to more bearish technical scenarios. The key levels traders should have on their charts right now are clear. The $60,000 to $62,500 zone has been tested twice and held — making it the most important support level in the current structure. A break below that level with conviction changes the technical picture significantly. To the upside, $98,000 has become the main resistance on the way up — producing a strong rejection previously — making $100,000 the psychological barrier that bulls need to reclaim to shift the broader trend. What the Cycle Data Suggests Bitcoin's price cycles follow recognizable patterns — not perfectly, but consistently enough to be worth studying. Historically, Bitcoin bear markets have lasted 12 to 13 months. The most recent peak occurred in October 2025. If the current cycle follows past patterns, the downturn could extend into late 2026 when priced in USD. However, priced in gold the picture looks different. Bitcoin reached its high against gold in January 2025 — and applying the same 12 to 13 month pattern would place a potential bottom around February 2026, with recovery possibly beginning in March. Large-scale investors or whales are treating the current downturn as an accumulation zone — a pattern that has historically preceded recoveries. That does not mean the bottom is confirmed. But it does mean the market structure is consistent with what accumulation phases have looked like in previous cycles. The Institutional Forecast Range The spread of institutional forecasts for Bitcoin in 2026 is extraordinary and worth understanding not as a guide to where price will go but as a measure of genuine uncertainty in the market. Macroeconomist Henrik Zeberg's primary scenario targets $110,000 to $120,000 in 2026, fueled by risk-on sentiment, ETF inflows, and continued institutional adoption — with a 25% probability secondary scenario of $140,000 to $150,000 if the cycle extends. JPMorgan's model targets $170,000 while Fundstrat has a bull case above $400,000. On the conservative end, Carol Alexander projects a range of $75,000 to $150,000. A spread from $75,000 to $400,000 is not a forecast range — it is an acknowledgment that nobody knows. The most honest position for any trader is to manage the position they have rather than betting on where price will end the year. Three Things Every BTCUSD Trader Should Understand Right Now Bitcoin behaves like a risk asset in macro stress. The Iran geopolitical shock confirmed this again. When equities sell off sharply and margin calls cascade through leveraged markets, Bitcoin sells with them. Traders who position Bitcoin as a pure safe haven are taking on correlation risk they may not fully appreciate. The consolidation range is the most important technical feature. Bitcoin has gone nowhere on a net basis for weeks, trapped between $60,000 and $72,000. Breakouts from extended consolidation ranges — in either direction — tend to carry momentum. Watch the boundaries of this range closely and have a plan for both scenarios before the break happens rather than after. Dollar cost averaging has historical support in fear environments. Buying during periods of fear has historically been more effective than buying during euphoria — and statistically, current price levels are in the zone where the best average prices are usually built. This does not mean the bottom is in. But it is a framework that has worked across multiple Bitcoin cycles for patient, risk-managed participants. Key Levels to Watch Current price ────── approximately $67,564 Major support ────── $60,000 to $62,500 tested twice — critical level Upper resistance ─── $72,000 to $73,000 50 EMA capping this zone Key bull target ──── $90,000 to $98,000 needed for trend reversal Psychological ────── $100,000 major barrier for bulls Bear scenario ────── $50,000 to $35,000 if $60,000 support breaks Final Thought Bitcoin in 2026 is in a phase that rewards patience and punishes conviction. The structural story — fixed supply, growing institutional adoption, ETF accessibility, and sovereign accumulation — remains intact. But the short-term environment is defined by macro uncertainty, geopolitical volatility, and a technical structure that has not yet resolved its direction. The traders who navigate this phase successfully will not be the ones with the most accurate price prediction. They will be the ones with the clearest risk management framework, the most disciplined position sizing, and the patience to let the market reveal its direction rather than forcing a conclusion. Watch $60,000. Respect the 50 EMA. Let the consolidation break tell you what comes next.
11:19:20.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▲ Long@Gold-Thoughts-by-Selenavotes:5 comments:11Selena | BTCUSD · 4H – Demand Reaction Toward LiquidityBITSTAMP:BTCUSD After a bearish move, price found support around the 65,000–66,000 demand zone and reacted strongly. The structure now shows a corrective bullish phase inside an ascending channel, indicating short-term recovery. This move appears to be targeting higher liquidity near the 74,500–76,000 supply zone, where previous highs are resting. The reaction from this upper zone will be crucial in determining whether the market continues bullish or resumes the broader bearish pressure. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 (Primary) Continuation from demand zone. 🎯 Target 1: 70,000 🎯 Target 2: 73,500 🎯 Target 3: 75,000 – 76,000 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 74,500 – 76,000 Support 🟢: 65,000 – 66,000 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
10:59:02.000BINANCE:BTCUSD▼ Short@linofx1votes:9 comments:44BITCOIN (BTC/USD): Classic Trend-Following PatternI see a significant bearish pattern on 📉BITCOIN a daily timeframe. The price formed a bearish flag. Trading in a bearish trend, the violation of a support of the flag is a strong trend-following signal. Consequently, we might anticipate a downward movement towards the 60,000 level.
10:30:30.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@VasilyTradervotes:3 comments:11BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Not a Good Sign?! Bitcoin broke and closed below a support line of a bearish flag pattern on a daily time frame. It is a very important signal that indicates a highly probable down trend continuation. The price may drop to 60000 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
10:30:48.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@Willie_Colettevotes:1 comments:0BTC Price Must Not Fall Below $59,000According to analysis, Bitcoin's current 200-week moving average sits at $59,000. This immediately establishes itself as a critical price level that the bulls must defend. As long as Bitcoin's price remains above $59,000, "every dip presents a prime opportunity." This implies that now could be an excellent time to buy. If historical trends are anything to go by, holding the 200-week moving average suggests that Bitcoin's price will... go on to set a new all-time high. As the analysis notes: "The macro structure remains bullish. Do not let short-term panic shake your confidence." Alternatively, the price could break below this 200-week moving average. This could have catastrophic consequences for Bitcoin, as it would signify that the cryptocurrency has officially entered a bear market. It could also foreshadow a broader downward trend, with prices continuing to slide lower before eventually bottoming out and rebounding. INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
10:31:32.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@Cartelavotes:6 comments:0$BTCUSD MIGHT ENCOUNTER A RELIEF!Bias: Bullish Btc price is holding firm at the $65k support level and we’re likely to see a relief in btc after it dropped significantly from ATH of $126k to $60k level. We may encounter a recovery to $90k. Technically, price is bouncing off a descending dynamic resistance trendline after it broke to the upside. We’ve also seen a Doji candle which also validates possible buy scenario. A buy opportunity is envisaged.
10:43:48.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@John_Isigevotes:1 comments:0Bitcoin Tests $65,625 Support as Geopolitical Risks Pressure Bitcoin continues to trade under pressure, with BTC/USD testing the $65,625 level, a key support within the broader sideways range. Rising geopolitical tensions and tightening monetary expectations are limiting bullish momentum. The escalation of the Middle East conflict remains the primary driver of bearish sentiment. ⸻ Geopolitical Risks Increase Market Uncertainty Over the weekend, new developments intensified concerns: • Ansar Allah signaled readiness to join hostilities • Risks of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb blockade increased • Oil transport routes may shift around Africa • Shipping costs and inflation risks rising In addition: • IRGC reported strikes on aluminum facilities • White House reportedly considering ground operations • Inflation risks continue to rise globally These developments increase risk-off sentiment across financial markets. ⸻ Fed Policy and Macro Pressure Bitcoin Higher inflation risks could lead to: • Prolonged Fed tightening • Delayed rate cuts • Stronger US dollar Current data: • Inflation: 2.4% YoY • Core inflation: 2.5% • Labor market remains stable Upcoming US labor data may influence market direction. ⸻ Strategy Pause Adds Pressure Additional downside risk emerged after: • No new purchases from Strategy Inc. • Concerns about institutional demand slowdown However, analysts note: • Retail selling increasing • Institutions accumulating This creates mixed sentiment. ⸻ Technical Analysis BTC remains within the 65,625–75,000 range: • Price near lower boundary • Downside risk remains elevated Indicators: • Bollinger Bands: flat • MACD: neutral • Stochastic: potential reversal ➡️ Market remains range-bound with bearish bias ⸻ Key Levels Resistance • 70,000 • 75,000 • 81,250 Support • 65,625 • 59,375 • 56,250 ⸻ Trading Scenarios Bearish Scenario Sell below 65,625 • Entry: 65,600 • Targets: 59,375 → 56,250 • Stop-loss: 68,800 • Timeframe: 5–7 days ⸻ Bullish Scenario Buy above 70,000 • Entry: 70,100 • Targets: 75,000 → 81,250 • Stop-loss: 66,700 ⸻ Outlook Bitcoin remains pressured by: • Geopolitical risks • Fed policy uncertainty • Risk-off sentiment • Break below 65,625 → bearish continuation • Break above 70,000 → bullish recovery Short-term outlook remains neutral-to-bearish.
10:19:15.000BINANCE:BTCUSD- N/A@EXCAVOvotes:240 comments:1414You're Not Reading the Chart. You're Defending It. Technical Analysis Doesn't Work. And Here's Why That's Your Mistake The chart told you everything. You just didn't want to hear it. That's not a market problem. That's a you problem - and it has a name. Confirmation bias. Most people reading this are committing it right now. The ones who just thought "not me" - those are exactly the ones I mean. You open the chart already knowing you want to buy. From that moment, your brain operates as a lawyer, not a judge. Bullish divergence on RSI? Noticed. Potential double bottom? Noticed. Bearish engulfing on the daily? Missed. Volume declining into the rally? Didn't see it. This is the architecture of the mind. It is not a flaw you can fix with discipline alone. You cannot fix it until you start your analysis from the opposite end of the chart entirely. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Three moments in Bitcoin's history where the crowd saw one thing and the market did another November 2021. BTC breaks $69,000. Everyone sees a flag on the weekly, targets $100,000. I was looking at the same chart and seeing Wyckoff distribution - the same signals, interpreted through a different lens. The majority didn't want to see it. Bitcoin spent the next 12 months collapsing to $15,500. January 2023. BTC recovers to $23,000. "Bear market is over." "New bull cycle." I wrote at the time: this is a bear market rally, not a reversal. Those who saw what they wanted to see bought at $23,000 and sold at a loss a month later. September 13, 2025. BTC at $95,000–$100,000. I closed all positions and published a post: the bull market is over. (The post is on my TradingView profile - the date is there, the words are there.) Three months later, those who saw only upside had lost 30–40%. This is not a claim. It is a record. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ One shift that changes everything Stop building analysis from a thesis. Build it from falsification. Before entering any trade, ask yourself one question: what would have to happen on this chart for me to admit I was wrong? Most traders cannot answer this. They enter without knowing when they're wrong. That's not analysis - it's gambling with a professional aesthetic. Real analysis starts with locating liquidity. Where are the stops? Where does the market need to go to collect liquidity before the real move begins? When you look at a chart through this lens, you stop seeing patterns and start seeing mechanics. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ What this looks like on the current chart Right now, BTC is trading around $67,000. The majority sees a correction. A temporary pullback - before the continuation. That's the consensus. And the consensus is almost always where the liquidity sits. On the weekly chart, the picture is different. My Liquidity Sweep indicator (available on my TradingView profile) shows activated bearish zones. Price has left the distribution range ($95,000–$120,000) and is moving structurally lower. The red arrow on the chart is not a scare tactic. It is mechanics. Where are the stops of everyone "buying the dip"? Clustered directly below current support. The key liquidity zone: $47,000–$50,000. That is where the market needs to go before any credible case for reversal can be made. Where BTC goes from here - the market will answer. What I'm telling you is this: traders buying the "correction" have already decided. They're not reading the chart anymore. They're reading permission slips. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Anti-bias checklist before entry Write these down. On paper. Not in your head. 1. What do I see on this chart that argues against my idea? If you can't find one thing - you're not analyzing. You're praying. 2. Where are the stops of traders who think exactly like me - and is there a scenario where the market sweeps those stops before going where I expect? 3. If I were already positioned against this trade, what would I see? 4. What is the specific level - not a range, a level - at which I will say: I was wrong? If you cannot answer question four, do not open the position. The market does not care about your thesis. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Here is a paradox worth writing down and taping above your monitor: The most dangerous trader is not the one who ignores technical analysis. The most dangerous trader is the one who has mastered it — and uses that mastery to justify what he already wanted to do. Knowledge gives you more tools to build a case. It gives you no immunity from building the wrong one. The more you know - the more convincing your mistake sounds. Technical analysis works. It works very well. Just not in the hands of a trader who uses it to confirm a decision made before the chart was even opened. Best Regards, EXCAVO
10:23:50.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▲ Long@Willie_Colettevotes:1 comments:0You Must Know About BTC 200-Week Moving Average Trend AnalysisCurrently, Bitcoin's price sits well above its 200-week moving average—a highly bullish signal for the asset. The rationale for this can be traced back to past market cycles, during which the 200-week moving average consistently served as a critical level to either defend or break through. Delving into past cycles, Bitcoin's price successfully held above the 200-week moving average in 2015. In the subsequent bull run, the price skyrocketed to $20,000. Similarly, in 2019, this same 200-week moving average held firm; the ensuing bull market ultimately peaked at $69,000 in 2021. Even during the third instance of this phenomenon in 2023—despite the price briefly dipping below $20,000—Bitcoin successfully defended the 200-week moving average. The bulls were ultimately rewarded as the price reached $126,000 in 2025. Given this historical trend, the conclusion is clear: Bitcoin's price trading *above* the 200-week moving average constitutes a bullish signal, just as a breakdown *below* this level serves as a bearish signal. This is precisely why holding this specific level remains of paramount importance for the bulls.
10:01:31.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@outklavotes:1 comments:0bitcoin has to continue bearishit looks like it complete its expanding flat correction is further continuation to the down side
10:03:47.000ICMARKETS:BTCUSD▲ Long@Pro_Trader_analystvotes:1 comments:11Trendline with Elliott Wave Trendline show Bearish. Wave 2 retrace 38.2% of Wave 1 Wave 4 retrace 38.2% of Wave 3 We are expecting wave 5 at 60,000 to and extension at 50,000 (127.2%) SELL at 67450 ST - 68500 TP1 - 64820 TP 2 - 63860 TP 3 - 60,000 Note RSI Converge and below 50 ADX is below 50
22:09:44.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@ephraimiykkvotes:1 comments:11BTCUSD bearish update Support at $66,400 has been decisively broken, confirming weakness in the current structure. Price failed to hold above key demand, shifting momentum to the downside. 📌 Entry: $65,600 (Short) 🎯 Targets: $65,000 / $64,200 🚧 New Resistance: $66,400 (flip zone) 🛑 Stop Loss: $66,800 The breakdown suggests: • Market structure shift (bullish → bearish) • Support turned resistance at $66.4K • Increasing sell pressure with lower highs forming I’ll be watching for a retest of $66.4K — if rejected, it strengthens the short bias. A clean breakdown continuation could push price into the next demand zone around $64K. Stay patient and let the market confirm 📊
22:46:55.000OANDA:BTCUSD▼ Short@ChartWithMGvotes:1 comments:0BTCUSD Short BTCUSD sell limit order entry  @66,444.59 SL  67,281.46 TP1:  65,607.72 BTCUSD is currently trading within a defined price action structure. Price has tested a key liquidity zone, aligning with the order-flow bearish readings. The valuation tool is overvalued short-term against the Dollar.  I will expect BTCUSD to lose some value soon. Let's see if this plays out. Trade Plan: Short Bias: Bearish short term. Entry reason: Price tested key liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above closest high. First target:   65,607.72
23:08:28.000PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD▼ Short@WhaleKingpinvotes:1 comments:0BTC Bearish Trend BTC bearish trend has started about 6 months ago and we can see this trend hitting 30K in the next 6-8 months I am very bearish on Bitcoin and don't see it making a ATH until late 2027 to early 2028. A lot of indicators and research is pointing toward a next year of bearish price action. Bitcoin maybe can hit 110K and take out some short liquidations but that might be all it have. So trade wisely.
23:29:48.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▼ Short@mirzahadi_fxvotes:4 comments:11BTC BUYS 1HSetup ONLY VALIDATES when the Price Engineers and Validates Its LIQUIDITY.
04:15:48.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@profxsor_votes:4 comments:0EYES ON #BTCUSDBITSTAMP:BTCUSD see you on the other side. i adjust my stop a litte lower and spread my targets across till final target hit
05:14:42.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▲ Long@salahuddin20041votes:3 comments:33BTC PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $68'500BTC PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $68'500 Currently $68'500 Targeting $69500 or Above (Trading plan IF BTC go down to $67300 will add more longs) Follow the notes for updates In the event of an early exit, this analysis will be updated. Its not a Financial advice
05:53:45.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@Forex_Championsvotes:4 comments:0BTCUSD H4 SELLING CURRENT PRICE TO 71000The chart is from a trading platform (likely TradingView). The price of Bitcoin is around $67,475. There are technical analysis markings: A downward trendline indicating a recent bearish trend. A highlighted “SUPPLY” zone (around the $70,000–$71,000 area), suggesting a region where selling pressure may occur. A “RESISTANCE” zone (around $67,000–$68,000), where price has struggled to move above. The candlestick pattern shows price declining from a recent peak and currently consolidating below resistance
05:54:07.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@joetamale128votes:0 comments:0BTC USDHI GUYS, UPDATE ON BTC USD my technical analysis says, we had a false even number on (wed, thur) sell price pattern that i noticed abit late. which means there is a possible extension this week as we hunt down an accurate (wed, thur) price pattern and a correction on (fri, mon) continuation sell entry. NOTE I cud be wrong but all will be clear tomorrow as illustrated above, which means we wait for price pattern (mon, tue) on the two bottoms which is estimated trigger time 6am tomorrow possible buys
06:28:32.000OANDA:BTCUSD▼ Short@mastertradingwavevotes:1 comments:0BTCUSDThe previous downtrend is supported. And this is enough accumulation period to make the price continue to fall. Targets range from 60,000 - 62,000
07:50:58.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@inchartswetrustvotes:1 comments:0No Clear Direction YetGood morning everyone 👾 Bitcoin was quiet over the weekend but showed the first signs of activity overnight. It’s still too early to say where this impulse might lead — most likely nowhere for now, and we’ll continue ranging within the 60,000–72,000 zone. What do we see on the chart right now? We’re seeing a bounce from the horizontal level at 67,500. Additionally, the EMA100 is acting as resistance at this level. Two local resistance levels are currently holding back the impulse, which doesn’t look like a strong 🦬 setup. We keep watching.
08:26:17.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@Sive-Mortenvotes:7 comments:0BTC BOUNCE TO 69-69.5KMorning folks, So, Friday setup worked as it should, as BTC dropped out from our wedge pattern. Now it hits 5/8 Fib level around 65K and formed "222" Buy" pattern. Although we keep our long-term bearish context intact, in nearest 1-2 sessions, it could bounce to 69-69.5K area at least. So, we do not take any bearish positions right now:
08:11:37.000OANDA:BTCUSD- N/A@ephraimiykkvotes:1 comments:11Bullish continuation BTCUSD BTC Setup – Bullish Continuation 📈 Price is showing strength after reclaiming $66,400 and pushing higher with increasing buying pressure. 📌 Entry: $67,600 (Long on confirmation) 🎯 Target: $69,000 🚧 Resistance: $67,900 🛑 Stop Loss: $66,900 Current structure suggests: • Higher lows forming → bullish momentum building • Buyers in control after failed breakdown (bear trap) • Watching for a clean break & hold above $67.9K ⚠️ I’m not blindly entering — I want confirmation above resistance before full conviction. If resistance rejects, I’ll step back and reassess for a possible pullback. My honest take: Yes, it’s okay to go long — but only if: Price holds above 67.9K, or You get a strong bullish candle / retest confirmation Otherwise, you’re entering right under resistance, which is risky.
07:50:58.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▲ Long@Pip_Chasers68votes:6 comments:33BTC Breakout & Retest — Continuation Incoming?“ CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaking out cleanly from a key resistance zone and now reacting around the retest area 👀 Trendline support is holding for now, keeping the structure bullish. If price maintains this zone, continuation towards higher levels becomes possible However, this is a key area to watch — any weakness here could shift momentum. What do you think — continuation or fakeout? Stay disciplined, manage risk, and follow your own plan. This idea is for educational purposes only.”
07:54:49.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@inchartswetrustvotes:1 comments:0No Clear Direction YetGood morning everyone 👾 Bitcoin was quiet over the weekend but showed the first signs of activity overnight. It’s still too early to say where this impulse might lead — most likely nowhere for now, and we’ll continue ranging within the 60,000–72,000 zone. What do we see on the chart right now? We’re seeing a bounce from the horizontal level at 67,500. Additionally, the EMA100 is acting as resistance at this level. Two local resistance levels are currently holding back the impulse, which doesn’t look like a strong 🦬 setup. We keep watching.
07:10:59.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▼ Short@mastertradingwavevotes:1 comments:0BTCUSDThe previous downtrend is supported. And this is enough accumulation period to make the price continue to fall. Targets range from 60,000 - 62,000
06:28:32.000OANDA:BTCUSD- N/A@joetamale128votes:1 comments:0BTC USDHI GUYS, UPDATE ON BTC USD my technical analysis says, we had a false even number on (wed, thur) sell price pattern that i noticed abit late. which means there is a possible extension this week as we hunt down an accurate (wed, thur) price pattern and a correction on (fri, mon) continuation sell entry. NOTE I cud be wrong but all will be clear tomorrow as illustrated above, which means we wait for price pattern (mon, tue) on the two bottoms which is estimated trigger time 6am tomorrow possible buys
05:53:45.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@ExpertTraderASKvotes:1 comments:11Bitcoin is approaching a key supply zone around 67,500⚡ BTCUSD – Bearish Setup from Supply Zone 🔻🪙 Bitcoin is approaching a key supply zone around 67,500, where sellers may step in for a potential short opportunity on the 15-minute timeframe ⏱️ 💡 Trade Setup: 🔹 Entry Zone: 67,500 (Supply Area) 🎯 Target 1: 66,900 ⚠️ Trade Smart – Manage Risk! Always use proper risk management, set a stop loss, and avoid over-leveraging. Protect your capital first 💼 📊 Watch for confirmation (rejection / bearish structure) before entering the trade. Patience pays! 👍 Like | 💬 Comment | 🔁 Share Follow for more high-quality trading setups and insights 📈📉
05:54:07.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▼ Short@Forex_Championsvotes:5 comments:0BTCUSD H4 SELLING CURRENT PRICE TO 71000The chart is from a trading platform (likely TradingView). The price of Bitcoin is around $67,475. There are technical analysis markings: A downward trendline indicating a recent bearish trend. A highlighted “SUPPLY” zone (around the $70,000–$71,000 area), suggesting a region where selling pressure may occur. A “RESISTANCE” zone (around $67,000–$68,000), where price has struggled to move above. The candlestick pattern shows price declining from a recent peak and currently consolidating below resistance
22:09:44.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@CryptoCheckGroupvotes:4 comments:0BTC WAVE 3 CRASH FINAL DROP TO $38K!COINBASE:BTCUSD As we approach the end of March, Bitcoin has completed a prolonged consolidation phase throughout February and March. With April just around the corner, the market appears poised for the final manipulative leg down. The recent ABC corrective structure concluded last week on March 17th. What followed is the early stages of a powerful impulse Wave 3 — with its most violent and accelerated decline still ahead of us! We are now entering Wave 3 of a larger Wave 3, a phase that often delivers the sharpest and most decisive moves in the Elliott Wave sequence. Price action is expected to accelerate downward, targeting the major support zone between $48,000 and $38,500 before this corrective cycle reaches exhaustion. This final markdown phase could represent the last significant shakeout before the recovery leg begins. Traders should prepare for increased volatility and sharp downside momentum in the coming weeks. 🚀 Mateusz Bogacki | 8-Year Analyst — smash that 👍, hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
23:08:28.000PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD▼ Short@ChartWithMGvotes:1 comments:0BTCUSD Short BTCUSD sell limit order entry  @66,444.59 SL  67,281.46 TP1:  65,607.72 BTCUSD is currently trading within a defined price action structure. Price has tested a key liquidity zone, aligning with the order-flow bearish readings. The valuation tool is overvalued short-term against the Dollar.  I will expect BTCUSD to lose some value soon. Let's see if this plays out. Trade Plan: Short Bias: Bearish short term. Entry reason: Price tested key liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above closest high. First target:   65,607.72
15:20:39.000BINANCE:BTCUSD▼ Short@MKtrejdingvotes:1 comments:22BTC SHORTwe can see that we broke bigger structure "bear flag" The brake out was not just bounce back in but price start consolidate after brake out. That indicate move forward down. We are basically forming smaller flag. We are still in weekend and it is better to wait for market to open. But the idea is there take advantage! Be safe!
17:19:31.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@VisionaryInsightsvotes:10 comments:0BTCUSD Bullish setup (3Days)Bitcoin is showing early signs of accumulation on the higher timeframe, with price stabilizing at a key demand zone. 🔺 Bullish Confluences: Strong reaction from the macro support / lower band. Range formation after impulsive sell-off → possible accumulation. Bearish momentum fading (weaker follow-through). Potential higher low developing on HTF. Holding above key 65K support zone. 🎯 Fibonacci Upside Targets 1️⃣ 38.2% – 72,000 2️⃣ 61.8% – 77,000 3️⃣ 100% – 80,500 As long as price holds above 65K–66K, a larger corrective move toward 80.5K becomes increasingly likely, especially on a reclaim of mid-range resistance.
17:30:28.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▲ Long@PremiumTrader57votes:1 comments:0BTC/USD – Trendline Breakout & Downtrend Confirmation ReasonSELL SIGNAL: BTC/USD – Trendline Breakout & Downtrend Confirmation Reason: Price has broken below the key ascending trendline with strong momentum, confirming the ongoing downtrend. This breakout increases the probability of further downside. Volume supporting the move adds conviction to the bearish setup. Action: Consider selling or tightening stops. Risk management is essential. This is NOT financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly. #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSD #SellSignal #CryptoTrading #TrendlineBreakout #Bearish #Downtrend #Crypto #TradingSignals
17:35:06.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▼ Short@VisionaryInsightsvotes:3 comments:0BTCUSD Bearish setup (3D)The recent push toward 75k appears to have been a fakeout, with price quickly rejecting and failing to establish acceptance above resistance — reinforcing overall bearish structure. Price remains firmly in a downtrend, respecting the descending channel and trading below all key moving averages Bearish confluences: Fakeout above 75k followed by strong rejection EMA ribbon acting as dynamic resistance Structure: consistent lower highs and lower lows Price capped below key Fib levels (0.382 acting as resistance) Downward sloping channel intact Weak bullish momentum with choppy consolidation As long as price stays below the highlighted resistance zone, continuation to the downside is likely. The measured move / 100% extension aligns around the 55k region, which also sits near the lower boundary of the macro channel — making it a high-probability target. Invalidation: clean break and hold above the resistance block.
17:49:15.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▲ Long@TJ-001votes:0 comments:0BitcoinBitcoin futures first moved upward over the past four weeks but then pulled back again. The oversold condition was partially cleared, and the "flagship cryptocurrency" could now resume its decline within a long-term bearish trend. The immediate target is $60,000, and in the event of a breakout, Bitcoin could target the next support level in the $50,000 area. Long-term trend: Down Resistance level: 74k Support level: 50k, 60k
18:11:47.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@xho0l10xvotes:1 comments:0$BTC - Bitcoin weekend intraday updateBTC compressing like a spring… Break up = Send Break down = Pain Ready for whatevaaaaaa the market brings!! 🤠
18:34:41.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▼ Short@dezoempire421votes:0 comments:0descending channel fakeout breakout Bitcoin 4H Update BTC is still trading inside a clean descending channel. We had a small breakout attempt recently, but it failed and price was pushed right back into the channel, showing sellers are still in control. Price is currently sitting near the lower half of the channel, with both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA acting as overhead resistance. As long as BTC stays below these EMAs and inside the channel, momentum remains bearish. Key things to watch: Reaction at the bottom of the channel Whether bulls can reclaim the EMAs A confirmed breakout above the channel before expecting any trend reversal For now, structure is still down. Patience until we see a real breakout with follow‑through.
18:35:48.000PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD- N/A@XBTFXvotes:1 comments:0BTC: On hold amid rising macro risksBitcoin traded in a volatile range this week, reflecting broader uncertainty across global financial markets and shifting risk sentiment. Rising oil prices due to conflict in the Middle East is rising investors' concerns that the inflation might impact the Fed to even raise interest rates, which was reflected on both US equity and Treasury markets. Despite some short rebound to the level of $70K, BTC closed the week lower, around $67K. The RSI tried to hold the level of 50, however, the indicator has fallen back toward the level of 42. This indicates that investors are yet not ready for higher grounds. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days continue to move as two parallel lines with a downtrend, without indications that the cross might come soon. Uncertainties and rising macro risks is what keeps liquidity away from the crypto market for some time now. As long as these uncertainties are in play, it should not be expected that the BTC might reach higher grounds. In this sense, it could be expected for BTC to continue to hold current grounds - between levels of $65K up to $70K.
18:39:59.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@BINDIsCOINsvotes:2 comments:01 Month Chart Parallel ChannelJust something to think about what could happen to price in the future.
18:47:12.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@ClashChartsTeamvotes:2 comments:11BTC Predicts S&P500 Gap — Your Backtests Are ObsoleteHey traders, Today I want to share the results of a deep quantitative dive my data analyst and I recently put together. It started with a simple, slightly obsessive idea. I asked myself: "Since crypto trades 24/7 and fiat markets take the weekend off, could Bitcoin’s Saturday/Sunday price action act as a lead indicator for Monday morning gaps in traditional markets?" At first, we tested this hypothesis on the Forex market, trying to find a link between weekend Bitcoin moves and the Monday morning EUR/USD gap during the Asian session. We ran the numbers. The result? A big fat zero. There was zero statistical significance. They were living in parallel universes. But we didn’t stop there. If not currencies, what about equities? So, we shifted our focus to the S&P 500 futures (ES=F). And that’s when the data started telling a completely mind-blowing story. 🕵️‍♂️ The Weekend Anatomy (The 2-Year Test) We pulled hourly data over the last two years (roughly 100 full weekends) and categorized Bitcoin’s behavior from Friday close to Sunday evening into three buckets: 🔴 Drop: BTC fell by more than 1.5%. ⚪ Flat: BTC moved somewhere between -1.5% and +1.5%. 🟢 Surge: BTC rallied by more than 1.5%. Then, we looked at how the S&P 500 futures opened during the Sunday evening (EST) session. The results were striking (and statistically significant at 99.9%): When Bitcoin dropped over the weekend, the S&P 500 opened with a heavy gap DOWN on Monday (averaging -0.48%). When Bitcoin was flat, the S&P 500 gap was basically zero (+0.03%). When Bitcoin surged, the S&P 500 opened with a gap UP (averaging +0.18%). Do you see the asymmetry here? Weekend panic in the crypto market predicts a bearish stock market gap almost three times harder than a crypto rally predicts a bullish one. Bitcoin has become the ultimate global fear sensor. But the surprises didn’t stop there. 🔄 The Regime Shift: Why Your Backtest Might Be Lying to You As a systemic researcher, I know 2 years isn’t always enough. So, we expanded the sample size to a 5-year history (from 2021 to 2026). And guess what happened to the stats? They completely flipped upside down. If you look at the entire 5-year period, a weekend Bitcoin drop actually led to the S&P 500 opening higher (+0.77%). And a weekend Bitcoin surge led to the S&P falling (-0.81%). Why does a 2-year algorithm give the exact opposite results of a 5-year algorithm? The answer lies in a massive structural transformation of the market. Welcome to the Era of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. The Old Regime (2021–2023): "The Capital Rotation" Back then, Bitcoin was largely decoupled from Wall Street. When speculators took profits in crypto over the weekend (BTC dropped), they’d often take that cash on Monday and buy "safe" mega-cap tech stocks like Apple and Microsoft. This rotation caused the S&P 500 to gap up. The New Regime (2024–2026): "Liquidity Synchronization" With BlackRock, Fidelity, and the big boys in the game, Bitcoin now sits in the exact same institutional portfolios as equities. If a macroeconomic shock or geopolitical scare hits over the weekend, Bitcoin takes the punch first because it’s the only market open. By Monday morning, those same funds start panic-selling the S&P 500. The correlation has become direct and aggressive. 💡 The Takeaway (Alpha) The market has fundamentally shifted. Any quant algorithm or trading backtest using crypto data older than 2024 carries a massive hidden risk today. But if you’re trading the here and now, the "Sunday Night Fear" strategy—trading the S&P 500 morning gap after a bleeding weekend in Bitcoin—offers a statistically proven edge. Keep an eye on crypto on Sunday evening; it might just give you a sneak peek into traditional market opens. Trade systemic, stay sharp, and let me know your thoughts in the comments! (P.S. The core of this research used ANOVA testing on hourly arrays. If anyone wants to geek out on the math or the Python code behind it, drop a comment and I'll gladly share).
23:33:43.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@Hyperwave_Mauritiusvotes:2 comments:11do we get a liquidity sweep?seems like a liquidity sweep event is upon us in the next few hours or days then we go check above 85k
19:50:17.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@Lunadigitalvotes:1 comments:0Bitcoin Testing Key Structure – Direction PendingOn the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle structure after a strong bearish move from the highs. This pattern reflects market indecision, where both buyers and sellers are compressing price action toward a potential breakout point. The 82,800–85,000 resistance zone remains a critical level, acting as a strong supply area where price has previously faced rejection. For bullish confirmation, Bitcoin needs a decisive breakout and daily close above this zone, which could trigger momentum toward higher levels. On the downside, the triangle structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if support fails. A breakdown below the pattern could lead to a sharp move toward the 40,000–38,000 major support zone, which is a strong demand area on the higher timeframe. Currently, the market is in a compression phase, and a significant move is expected once price breaks out of this structure. Key Levels: Resistance: 82,800 – 85,000 Support: 40,000 – 38,000 Outlook: Neutral in the short term, but a breakout or breakdown from the triangle will likely define the next major trend direction.
21:00:14.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▼ Short@TradingNutComvotes:1 comments:0BTC: Two Paths for the Short Bias ($45K Pivot)Bitcoin is currently range-bound, but our eyes are on the $45,000 turning point for a broader short bias. We are tracking two specific ways to play this: The Conservative Play: Looking for a move to the top of the current range to hunt for a Head & Shoulders pattern before entry. The Aggressive Play: An immediate breakdown and retest of the current trend line, targeting a move toward the next major trend support. Key Levels: Pivot: $45,000 Target: Next major trend line
00:34:19.000BINANCE:BTCUSD▼ Short@ganerdene0227votes:1 comments:33BTC Fall and the bottomBTC Fall to 46k. The bottom is around 38k. around 6 months to stabilize.
23:29:48.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD▼ Short@WhaleKingpinvotes:3 comments:0BTC Bearish Trend BTC bearish trend has started about 6 months ago and we can see this trend hitting 30K in the next 6-8 months I am very bearish on Bitcoin and don't see it making a ATH until late 2027 to early 2028. A lot of indicators and research is pointing toward a next year of bearish price action. Bitcoin maybe can hit 110K and take out some short liquidations but that might be all it have. So trade wisely.
22:46:55.000OANDA:BTCUSD- N/A@ephraimiykkvotes:1 comments:11BTCUSD bearish update Support at $66,400 has been decisively broken, confirming weakness in the current structure. Price failed to hold above key demand, shifting momentum to the downside. 📌 Entry: $65,600 (Short) 🎯 Targets: $65,000 / $64,200 🚧 New Resistance: $66,400 (flip zone) 🛑 Stop Loss: $66,800 The breakdown suggests: • Market structure shift (bullish → bearish) • Support turned resistance at $66.4K • Increasing sell pressure with lower highs forming I’ll be watching for a retest of $66.4K — if rejected, it strengthens the short bias. A clean breakdown continuation could push price into the next demand zone around $64K. Stay patient and let the market confirm 📊
21:20:50.324BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@PRO_Indicatorsvotes:13 comments:22BRIEFING Week #13 : The Top Is INHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
21:00:14.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@Lunadigitalvotes:3 comments:0Bitcoin Testing Key Structure – Direction PendingOn the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle structure after a strong bearish move from the highs. This pattern reflects market indecision, where both buyers and sellers are compressing price action toward a potential breakout point. The 82,800–85,000 resistance zone remains a critical level, acting as a strong supply area where price has previously faced rejection. For bullish confirmation, Bitcoin needs a decisive breakout and daily close above this zone, which could trigger momentum toward higher levels. On the downside, the triangle structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if support fails. A breakdown below the pattern could lead to a sharp move toward the 40,000–38,000 major support zone, which is a strong demand area on the higher timeframe. Currently, the market is in a compression phase, and a significant move is expected once price breaks out of this structure. Key Levels: Resistance: 82,800 – 85,000 Support: 40,000 – 38,000 Outlook: Neutral in the short term, but a breakout or breakdown from the triangle will likely define the next major trend direction.
21:02:36.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@TradingNutComvotes:1 comments:0BTC: Two Paths for the Short Bias ($45K Pivot)Bitcoin is currently range-bound, but our eyes are on the $45,000 turning point for a broader short bias. We are tracking two specific ways to play this: The Conservative Play: Looking for a move to the top of the current range to hunt for a Head & Shoulders pattern before entry. The Aggressive Play: An immediate breakdown and retest of the current trend line, targeting a move toward the next major trend support. Key Levels: Pivot: $45,000 Target: Next major trend line
19:50:17.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▲ Long@Hyperwave_Mauritiusvotes:3 comments:11do we get a liquidity sweep?seems like a liquidity sweep event is upon us in the next few hours or days then we go check above 85k
17:46:10.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD▼ Short@VisionaryInsightsvotes:4 comments:0BTCUSD Bearish setup (3D)The recent push toward 75k appears to have been a fakeout, with price quickly rejecting and failing to establish acceptance above resistance — reinforcing overall bearish structure. Price remains firmly in a downtrend, respecting the descending channel and trading below all key moving averages Bearish confluences: Fakeout above 75k followed by strong rejection EMA ribbon acting as dynamic resistance Structure: consistent lower highs and lower lows Price capped below key Fib levels (0.382 acting as resistance) Downward sloping channel intact Weak bullish momentum with choppy consolidation As long as price stays below the highlighted resistance zone, continuation to the downside is likely. The measured move / 100% extension aligns around the 55k region, which also sits near the lower boundary of the macro channel — making it a high-probability target. Invalidation: clean break and hold above the resistance block.
19:17:24.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▲ Long@mirzahadi_fxvotes:5 comments:11BTC BUYS 1HSetup ONLY VALIDATES when the Price Engineers and Validates Its LIQUIDITY.
19:09:33.000COINBASE:BTCUSD- N/A@ClashChartsTeamvotes:4 comments:33BTC Predicts S&P500 Gap — Your Backtests Are ObsoleteHey traders, Today I want to share the results of a deep quantitative dive my data analyst and I recently put together. It started with a simple, slightly obsessive idea. I asked myself: "Since crypto trades 24/7 and fiat markets take the weekend off, could Bitcoin’s Saturday/Sunday price action act as a lead indicator for Monday morning gaps in traditional markets?" At first, we tested this hypothesis on the Forex market, trying to find a link between weekend Bitcoin moves and the Monday morning EUR/USD gap during the Asian session. We ran the numbers. The result? A big fat zero. There was zero statistical significance. They were living in parallel universes. But we didn’t stop there. If not currencies, what about equities? So, we shifted our focus to the S&P 500 futures (ES=F). And that’s when the data started telling a completely mind-blowing story. 🕵️‍♂️ The Weekend Anatomy (The 2-Year Test) We pulled hourly data over the last two years (roughly 100 full weekends) and categorized Bitcoin’s behavior from Friday close to Sunday evening into three buckets: 🔴 Drop: BTC fell by more than 1.5%. ⚪ Flat: BTC moved somewhere between -1.5% and +1.5%. 🟢 Surge: BTC rallied by more than 1.5%. Then, we looked at how the S&P 500 futures opened during the Sunday evening (EST) session. The results were striking (and statistically significant at 99.9%): When Bitcoin dropped over the weekend, the S&P 500 opened with a heavy gap DOWN on Monday (averaging -0.48%). When Bitcoin was flat, the S&P 500 gap was basically zero (+0.03%). When Bitcoin surged, the S&P 500 opened with a gap UP (averaging +0.18%). Do you see the asymmetry here? Weekend panic in the crypto market predicts a bearish stock market gap almost three times harder than a crypto rally predicts a bullish one. Bitcoin has become the ultimate global fear sensor. But the surprises didn’t stop there. 🔄 The Regime Shift: Why Your Backtest Might Be Lying to You As a systemic researcher, I know 2 years isn’t always enough. So, we expanded the sample size to a 5-year history (from 2021 to 2026). And guess what happened to the stats? They completely flipped upside down. If you look at the entire 5-year period, a weekend Bitcoin drop actually led to the S&P 500 opening higher (+0.77%). And a weekend Bitcoin surge led to the S&P falling (-0.81%). Why does a 2-year algorithm give the exact opposite results of a 5-year algorithm? The answer lies in a massive structural transformation of the market. Welcome to the Era of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. The Old Regime (2021–2023): "The Capital Rotation" Back then, Bitcoin was largely decoupled from Wall Street. When speculators took profits in crypto over the weekend (BTC dropped), they’d often take that cash on Monday and buy "safe" mega-cap tech stocks like Apple and Microsoft. This rotation caused the S&P 500 to gap up. The New Regime (2024–2026): "Liquidity Synchronization" With BlackRock, Fidelity, and the big boys in the game, Bitcoin now sits in the exact same institutional portfolios as equities. If a macroeconomic shock or geopolitical scare hits over the weekend, Bitcoin takes the punch first because it’s the only market open. By Monday morning, those same funds start panic-selling the S&P 500. The correlation has become direct and aggressive. 💡 The Takeaway (Alpha) The market has fundamentally shifted. Any quant algorithm or trading backtest using crypto data older than 2024 carries a massive hidden risk today. But if you’re trading the here and now, the "Sunday Night Fear" strategy—trading the S&P 500 morning gap after a bleeding weekend in Bitcoin—offers a statistically proven edge. Keep an eye on crypto on Sunday evening; it might just give you a sneak peek into traditional market opens. Trade systemic, stay sharp, and let me know your thoughts in the comments! (P.S. The core of this research used ANOVA testing on hourly arrays. If anyone wants to geek out on the math or the Python code behind it, drop a comment and I'll gladly share).
18:47:12.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@BINDIsCOINsvotes:2 comments:01 Month Chart Parallel ChannelJust something to think about what could happen to price in the future.
18:34:41.000CRYPTO:BTCUSD- N/A@xho0l10xvotes:1 comments:0$BTC - Bitcoin weekend intraday updateBTC compressing like a spring… Break up = Send Break down = Pain Ready for whatevaaaaaa the market brings!! 🤠
18:35:48.000PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD▼ Short@dezoempire421votes:0 comments:0descending channel fakeout breakout Bitcoin 4H Update BTC is still trading inside a clean descending channel. We had a small breakout attempt recently, but it failed and price was pushed right back into the channel, showing sellers are still in control. Price is currently sitting near the lower half of the channel, with both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA acting as overhead resistance. As long as BTC stays below these EMAs and inside the channel, momentum remains bearish. Key things to watch: Reaction at the bottom of the channel Whether bulls can reclaim the EMAs A confirmed breakout above the channel before expecting any trend reversal For now, structure is still down. Patience until we see a real breakout with follow‑through.
18:39:59.000BITSTAMP:BTCUSD- N/A@XBTFXvotes:6 comments:0BTC: On hold amid rising macro risksBitcoin traded in a volatile range this week, reflecting broader uncertainty across global financial markets and shifting risk sentiment. Rising oil prices due to conflict in the Middle East is rising investors' concerns that the inflation might impact the Fed to even raise interest rates, which was reflected on both US equity and Treasury markets. Despite some short rebound to the level of $70K, BTC closed the week lower, around $67K. The RSI tried to hold the level of 50, however, the indicator has fallen back toward the level of 42. This indicates that investors are yet not ready for higher grounds. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days continue to move as two parallel lines with a downtrend, without indications that the cross might come soon. Uncertainties and rising macro risks is what keeps liquidity away from the crypto market for some time now. As long as these uncertainties are in play, it should not be expected that the BTC might reach higher grounds. In this sense, it could be expected for BTC to continue to hold current grounds - between levels of $65K up to $70K.
18:11:47.000COINBASE:BTCUSD▼ Short@TJ-001votes:0 comments:0BitcoinBitcoin futures first moved upward over the past four weeks but then pulled back again. The oversold condition was partially cleared, and the "flagship cryptocurrency" could now resume its decline within a long-term bearish trend. The immediate target is $60,000, and in the event of a breakout, Bitcoin could target the next support level in the $50,000 area. Long-term trend: Down Resistance level: 74k Support level: 50k, 60k